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"On my part, I remain committed to the process of dialogue. It is my firm belief that dialogue and a willingness to look with honesty and clarity at the reality of Tibet can lead us to a viable solution."

China asserts its role in Nepal

June 26, 2008

N.P.Upadhyaya
The Telegraph Nepal
June 25, 2008

Kathmandu -- India's dirty game in Nepal appears to have come to an end.

The Indian establishment's poking nose in each and every internal
affairs of Nepal, more so after the arrival of etiquette less Indian
diplomat Ambassador Rakesh Sood on April 23, 08, appears to have been
taken proper note by India's noted rival-China and thus its "quiet"
diplomacy is in progress much to the chagrin of the Indo-pendent
Nepali leaders who "rush" to Delhi to seek advices from their masters
seated in Delhi Dham.

Understandably, the Chinese authorities do not work in the open as
the Indians do in a naked manner. The Chinese are modest and suave
and conclude that Nepal must be taken in a good stead come what may.

The Chinese worry and annoyance increased exponentially in the recent
months when it could see for itself as to how the Indian
establishment through its "declared stooges" managed outrage against
China and created havoc in Kathmandu prompting the anti-Tibet
protests in series.

It is these events that perhaps jolted China and its establishment in
Beijing and compelled it to conclude that until and unless the Nepali
Congress led Koirala government were in place the anti-China
activities will continue.

No wonder that the Chinese quiet diplomacy has come into action. It
appears that the Chinese embassy officials have by now collected the
information as to which congress leaders were encouraging the
anti-Tibet protests. Reports say that the Chinese are also aware as
to wherefrom the money was pouring in and who was the ring leader?

With these events and the clandestine moves against China being
carried out in Kathmandu keeping in mind, the Chinese establishment
in Nepal has charted, analysts say, some new strategies, some visible
and the rest invisible, in order to thwart any nefarious designs
against China from the Nepali soil.

In verbal lectures, Nepal has repeatedly been saying that its soil
would not be allowed to be used against China and that Nepal adheres
to "one China policy" which the Chinese used to swallow without
making any comments. However, when the Chinese embassy officials
closely monitored the series of events against China then it had to,
presumably, change some of its defunct policies towards this country.

That China has made a "policy shift" towards Nepal became visibly
clear to the intelligent political analysts in the manner a high
ranking Maoist leader, Krishna Bahadur Mahara, sneaked into Beijing a
fortnight ago and met some "key" Chinese authorities who have a say
in the entire politics of the Chinese establishment more so on Nepal.

China, high placed sources say, has already concluded that Nepali
Congress was the main villain acting blindly in favor of the Indian
establishment and that its further continuation in Nepal's power
structure will further damage Nepal-China relations.

The Chinese authorities apparently have also concluded that its
arch-rival-the Indian establishment has been using some NC leaders to
provoke anti-China sentiments in Nepal and thus it would be
politically beneficial to say good bye to the NC led government.

However, what is also true is that China can in no way destabilize
the Koirala government as it would mean a direct interference in
Nepal's internal affairs. China understands that such interferences
were the sole preserve of Ambassador Sood.

Nevertheless, one event that has just come to the surface does tell
that the Chinese are not that duffer not to understand the country's politics.

It should be in this light the Maoists and the UML's suddenly
developed "intimate" relations be seen.

Clearly and without hesitation what could be safely said is that the
days of the Nepali Congress are numbered which is soon to be replaced
by a much more China friendly lobby.

What is interesting of it all is that such a Maoist and the UML
intimacy has come close on the heels of minister Mahara's secret trip
to Beijing.

In addition, how the Indian establishment mandarins will pull their
hairs will have to be keenly observed when Comrade Prachanda makes a
"maiden" trip to Beijing shortly.

But then to conclude that the new lobby comprising of the Maoist and
the UML will pleasingly support the Chinese establishment will be a
premature conclusion.

For example, the Maoists became Maoists only after the Indian
establishment provided them with the needed shelter and arms while
they were in their "long hibernation." It is also believed among the
academia that the Maoists have been completely under the political
grips of the Indian establishment. It is logical to conclude that the
Maoists must have "assured" the Indian establishment that when they
come to power they would "pay the obligations" in an appropriate and
India-pleasing manner for whatever support, visible and invisible
both, they received and enjoyed during their troubled hibernation
period in Delhi's NOIDA.

Likewise, Comrade Prachanda's CNN-IBN recent interview does tell that
he would not let India to swim in the mid-ocean when he is in power.
He says, "Well! How can Nepal keep China and India both at an
equal  distance --we have so many multifaceted ties with India and
thus there is no question that the much publicized equidistant theory
would be applied to India -- however, China is also a neighbor and
thus Nepal will have also ties with China but not that equals India."

In a much more similar fashion, the Chinese will have to think twice
when it comes to believe the UML credentials. What is clear to all
and sundry that the UML is a communist party which possesses abundant
"love and honor" for the Indian establishment or else why the UML
could have handed over the entire Mahakali River to India in the mid
1990s and that too for a dirt cheap price.

To boot, the present UML boss, Mr. Jhal Nath Khanal resided in New
Delhi under the Hospitality of former Indian foreign secretary, Shyam
Sharana-the main frustrated Indian brain who wants to see Nepal being
broken into pieces-during the Royal regime in 2005.

Mr. Khanal is learnt to be the UML leader who encouraged his former
boss, Madhav Kumar Nepal to make anti-China statements from a foreign land.

Mr. Nepal scolded China through a high voltage statement from Delhi
for having supplied arms to the then Royal regime. He did so under
the instructions of SHYAM Sharana and thus to expect much from Mr.
Khanal would be a suicidal affair. High placed analysts say that Mr.
Khanal too has his "intimate" connections with the South Block establishment.

In addition, the sons and daughters of a host of the UML leaders are
studying in India enjoying free Indian government scholarship.

Only having red flag with hammer and sickle as its logo does not make
a political grouping a Communist

Party worth the name.

Having said all these, what is for sure is that China too has become
assertive. It wants to have a say in Nepali politics but not the way
the "traditional neighbor" and "big brother."

The general presumption is that China will henceforth try to
neutralize the heavy and naked influence of the Indian establishment
through its own "structured" strategies and plans.

Analysts presume that for the time being the Chinese authorities will
encourage the Maoists and the UML to come to the political forefront
of this nation and later would wish to see this "lobby" act like a
political deterrent" against the high handedness of the Indian establishment.

Mahara did not visit China to see the multi-storied buildings.
Prachanda hopefully is not visiting China to see the flat roads and
to have a taste of famous Chinese cuisine.

Analysts wish to see the prevalence of external forces which could
undercut the Indian highhandedness. Any steps taken by China or even
United States of America would be most welcome if their visible
presence matched the Indian intervention that is there for all to see.

The message underneath is loaded with meaning. India should be the
loser by all means.
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