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Some Questions for India on the Chinese Threat

May 24, 2009

Posted by P. Chacko Joseph
Frontier India
May 24, 2009

Of all the threats which India faces, the biggest
is China. Other threats like Pakistani Army
attitude and terrorists are proxy threats. China
represents a threat in itself. India and China
are two civilizations and a conflict between
these two will be a civilizational conflict.
Pakistani Army and terrorism can be controlled by
US influence. Will US be able to influence China
to stop attacking India like it can influence
Pakistan? China will attack India when others are
busy and is advantageous for China. Will India
ever attack china even when it feels advantageous?

Second question is the location of Chinese
threat. Chinese army is deployed on the higher
ground and Indian Army is deployed on the lower
ground. Chinese disadvantage of moving troops and
equipment over the occupied Tibetan is overcome
by feats in road construction, railway line and
air strips. China also has built up vehicles/
carriers to move around at Tibet border, while
Indian Army still depends largely upon mules.
Daulat Beg Oldie (DBO), other airfields
reactivated, current roads building program at
Chinese border are meant to “keep and eye” on
Chinese and have very less value when it comes to
large scale troop movements. Stationing SU-30 MKI
at Chinese borders is the only credible defence
on Chinese border which we have seen lately. Does
India has the border infrastructure at Chinese border?

Third question is Chinese posses long range
artillery, which is not yet employed in decisive
manner by India. China has deployed missiles in
occupied Tibet and it can hit any part of India
it wants. Indian on the other hand has just
started building up offensive missile systems
which can harm Chinese at their main land. While
Chinese will have no remorse to hit Indian
populated centers, Chinese PLA can use Tibetan
cities as shields. It is possible that Tibetans
will rise in revolt, but, its anybody’s guess if
china has not built it into calculation. There
are fresh examples of how equipped are the
Chinese to contain Tibetans. Indian ABM systems
are quite a while away. Will India hurl missiles
at Tibetan cities? Can India strike Chinese main
land with as much damage that Chinese can inflict on India?

The fourth question is formidable Chinese
production units that can churn the required
military wares in numbers in the event of war.
Not just this, Chinese forces have been using and
upgrading their indigenous equipment. On the
other hand Indian Armed forces, especially the
Indian Army does not has such foresight and
leadership for almost past 3 decades. India will
have to import, non suited equipment from
overseas. This was demonstrated during kargil
war. Will it come in numbers and right time?

The fifth question is that Chinese can use
nuclear weapons first and Chinese have the
capability to withstand a nuclear strike and
counter strike. Can India boast of such
capabilities against the Chinese main land?

The sixth question is that India and China has
undefined borders and Tawang is hotly contested.
Will India fight the border war on the Indian
side of the territory or the territory occupied by the Chinese?

The eigth question is the maturity of Chinese
cyber warfare. We have allegedly seen them
hacking Indian embassy PC’s. Have Indian cyber
warfare team ever tested hacking Chinese networks?

The ninth question is that Chinese trade flows
via Indian ocean. The Chinese are building Navy (
PLAN ) to operate in Indian Ocean. Will Indian
Navy operate on east Chinese sea?

The tenth reason is the Chinese diplomatic clout
and they are a permanent 5 nation at UN. They can
block any deal in UN which concerns them. India
doesn’t. Can India walk out of UN, when Chinese have an upper hand there?

The eleventh question is the Chinese ASAT test.
China has tested its anti-satellite weapon, India
has not. Will India be able to destroy Chinese assets in space?

The twelfth question is the Chinese economy and
economic clout. Chinese economy can sustain a
long war with India. Can Indian economy sustain
it? Chinese economic clout spans from Latin
America to Africa. Even Us and Russia have
Chinese as major trading partner. How much can India influence?

The final question was echoed by the Indian Air
Force Chief , Air Chief Marshal Fali Homi Major.
He told Hindustan Times “We know very little
about the actual capabilities of China, their
combat edge or how professional their military
is.” Does India fully understands the Chinese threat?
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